No I largely agree. My limited understanding of modern firearms would suggest that with an unmodified firearm, the safety catch would have had to have been manually disengaged (which is daft enough) and whatever has actuated the trigger must have pulled evenly on the trigger safeties too, which I’m finding really unusual.

If they’ve modified their weapon system though, then yeah it could be all sorts of jank interfering with the safety systems.

I’m still not entirely convinced it’s an actual discharge. The video feed I saw on the Bluesky post didn’t have sound so the discharge can’t be heard, and there’s no signs of impact on the snow or pavement, though in fairness the video is of a low frame rate.